Answer 1:
If I would try to answer this question few
years ago Id have to address many hypotheses and
a surrounding discussion.However, the discussions
on the main cause of the global warming we see
nowadays have ended couple of years ago with
results from new studies. Indeed, our planet
goes through natural cycles of global warming and
global cooling (e.g. Ice ages). However, the speed
of recent warming exceeds everything we have seen
in previous global climate changes. Moreover,
while we can explain previous climate changes with
solar activity and seismological processes, these
factors can not explain the rapid change we see in
the last century. Basically, the only thing that
can explain recent temperature changes on the
planet is the increase of greenhouse gases
concentration in the atmosphere. There are number
of studies which proved that CO2 gas is
the one from many greenhouse gases, which
concentration in the atmosphere changed
significantly over the past century. So, up to
this point there is pretty much an agreement
within the scientific society: CO2
increase in the atmosphere is the main factor of
the recent global warming. The next
question is where is this additional
CO2 is coming from? Are humans
responsible for this change? May this be a natural
process? The unusual climate dynamic started at
the same time as industrial revolution took place
and it correlates well with CO2
emissions human activity produced. So the
discussion on the sources of CO2 is
also almost over. So, we are ~99% certain that
human activity is the main factor which increases
CO2 in the atmosphere which causes an
unusually rapid global warming. At this
point, the main focus should be on stopping
greenhouse gas emissions from human activities.
However, even if we would be able to cut all of
them right now (which doesnt seem to happen),
changes we caused are irreversible. Ice is
melting, sea level is rising, and climate patterns
are changing. There is a lot of uncertainty as to
how exactly climate or sea level will look in few
decades. The planet climatic system is extremely
complex and we can not predict with sufficient
certainty what will happen. There are many
ideas on how to reverse global warming but none of
I am familiar with sound reasonable. E.g. there
are ways to decrease temperature by increasing
particles in the atmosphere. It is so called
nuclear winter by bombing the Earth we can create
an ice age. Due to complexity of the planet
climatic system the consequences of such a
solutions may be much more catastrophic than the
global warming itself. In summary, human
activity over the past century caused an increase
in CO2 in the atmosphere, which is
playing the main role in recent global warming. At
this point we dont have a way to reverse these
changes but we also dont know how the new warmed
planet is going to look like. |