Answer 2:
Nobody knows. This is the reason for the
debate about climate change. The problem is much
more complicated than what you mention, however:
1. Even if we humans were to suddenly become
extinct tomorrow or be whisked off the planet by
aliens or whatever, we've still put an awful lot
of carbon dioxide into the air already, and that's
going to have some effect on climate. Even
stopping fossil fuel consumption right now may be
too late to prevent a lot of the changes that are
going to happen. In other words, it may already be
too late to stop the worst of climate change.
2. We burn an awful lot of fossil fuels doing
agriculture. Even if you live your life solar
electricity and walking everywhere, there's still
the food you eat, which has to be carried from the
farms to the markets in gasoline-burning trucks or
diesel-burning trains. New engines for vehicles
that burn hydrogen instead of fossil fuels might
solve this problem, but the engineering isn't
there yet. Ironically, the power source for making
hydrogen exists, namely nuclear power - but
nuclear power has its own drawbacks, namely
radioactive waste that takes longer than the
lifetimes of civilizations to degrade.
3. Carbon dioxide is known for a fact to be a
greenhouse gas, but it isn't the most important
greenhouse gas in our atmosphere. That honor
belongs to water vapor. However, the amount of
water vapor in the atmosphere will increase as
temperature increases, causing even more warming,
and so on. The worry about carbon dioxide is that
it will amplify the water vapor greenhouse effect.
It's already doing some of that, but we don't know
how much it will do because we're nowhere close to
equilibrium. It might be one or two degrees
Celsius global temperature change, or it might be
five or six.
4. There is evidence that there are natural
causes of global temperature rise as well as
carbon dioxide levels, and some of them we have no
control over (such as changes in the brightness of
the sun). We don't yet know how important these
factors are.
5. Climate is more than just temperature, but
also includes rainfall patterns and things like
that as well. This drought that California is
experiencing? It might be due to global warming
(*might*). Rainfall patterns depend on wind, and
we don't know how global warming is going to
affect changes in winds around the globe. The
outcome is going to be bad for a lot of people,
but we don't know how bad, or in what way it will
be bad.
6. Plants can adapt to climate change, but only
to an extent, and we don't know where that limit
lies. We know from fossil data (pollen cores in
lakes) that plant populations in the past moved
quite rapidly in response to ice age cycles, and
those ice age cycles came and went with about the
same speed and the same magnitude as some of the
worse predicted global warming scenarios - but
plants then didn't have human agriculture and
other modifications to the landscape to block the
way.
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