Answer 2:
It's hard to say with volcanoes, because all it
takes is a change in the composition of the magma
feeding the volcano to cause a change in the
volcano's behavior, and these can happen
surprisingly quickly (for example, Krakatoa in
Indonesia has always been an explosive
volcano, but the unusually massive 1883 explosion
may have been caused by a new magma mixing with an
existing magma reservoir of different
composition). Etna has had violently explosive
eruptions - an eruption in 122 BCE seriously
damaged a nearby town with ash-fall to the point
where the Roman government exempted the town from
taxes so that it could rebuild itself. As such
it's difficult to say if Etna could have an
explosive eruption as violent as the 79 CE
Vesuvius eruption; Etna does not have the
history of explosive eruptions that Vesuvius does,
but all it takes is one freak event.
Vesuvius itself isn't consistent either:
Vesuvius last erupted in 1944, but that was an
aa-type eruption (pronounced "ah-ah", a Hawaiian
word) that consisted of a 40+-meter wall of
crumbling lava blocks, mostly solid but with a
molten core, and moving at about 1-2 km per hour.
This flow demolished villages as it buried them,
but you notice from the slow speed that a human
could easily escape it just by walking away, which
is why, to my knowledge, this eruption caused no
deaths.
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